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The Drought of 2012: A New Normal or Just More Variability?
(Seminar/Conference)
ICTAS Black Swan Seminar Series:
The Drought of 2012: A New Normal or Just More Variability?
Can we learn from the drought of 2012? Is this truly the "new normal" climate for which we need to plan? Let's consider the following.
Weather is what we experience on a day-to-day basis at any location. But climate is the long-term manifestation of weather recorded over decades to centuries and longer. One indication of decadal climate change lies in long-term trends of daily high temperature records set at weather stations throughout the world compared to the number of record daily low temperatures. In a variable climate system, there will always be new extremes experienced as the record grows longer. But the ratio of record highs to lows should average 1:1. However, on a warming planet, the number of record highs should significantly exceed the number of lows.
Facilitation by Jerry Schnoor, professor at the University of Iowa and Co-Director of the Center for Global and Regional Environmental Research.
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540-231-1929